TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE between Caracas and Tachira. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Caracas wins, Tachira wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Caracas vs Tachira professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Caracas resolves the 'Caracas' market to Yes; a win for Tachira resolves the 'Tachira' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results—extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its governing bodies.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set their lines to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Kalshi, it could indicate disagreement about the true probabilities, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Examining these discrepancies can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information, offering a real-time probability assessment of the Caracas vs Tachira match result. The current leading outcome is determined by the highest contract price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Caracas vs Tachira match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Caracas, a win for Tachira, or a tie—is the correct result based on the final score. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, shifts in public sentiment or analysis from sports commentators could also drive trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in their recent performance, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts.