TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE between Caracas and Monagas. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Caracas wins, Monagas wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Caracas vs Monagas professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Caracas win, Monagas win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a draw within regulation time, the Tie market resolves affirmatively. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome and identify potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential results of the Caracas vs Monagas match. The market depth and spread can also indicate the level of confidence traders have in each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Caracas vs Monagas match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team form, weather conditions, and even pre-match news regarding team strategies could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could significantly impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Furthermore, any major upsets in related matches or league standings could also influence how traders assess the likelihood of a Caracas or Monagas victory, causing fluctuations in the market price.