TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Caracas FC and Zamora FC in the Venezuelan Liga FUTVE. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win, or if the match will end in a tie, after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Extra time or penalty shootouts are not considered.
This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Caracas FC and Zamora FC.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Caracas vs Zamora professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Caracas market occurs if Caracas wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for the Zamora market occurs if Zamora wins in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively reflect the result of the match within regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting the true probabilities of events, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from the 'wisdom of the crowd,' aggregating diverse perspectives. However, sportsbooks often have higher liquidity and may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of orders allowed or the availability of limit orders, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Additionally, differing levels of information and analysis among traders on each platform can lead to varying assessments of the probabilities involved in the Caracas FC vs Zamora FC match. These factors contribute to a dynamic pricing environment across platforms.