TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between Caprabo Lleida and UCAM Murcia, reflecting the competitive performance of both teams in a scheduled match. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the official game result. Any adjustments due to postponements within a defined timeframe do not alter the market's basis, which remains focused on the final, legitimate game outcome.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Caprabo Lleida and UCAM Murcia, scheduled for October 31, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result once the game concludes. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current volume of $27,681 shows the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spanish basketball match, as reported by official sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, can also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could also create movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations before Oct 31, 2026.