TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between Caprabo Lleida and Obradoiro CAB in Spain's Liga ACB league. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for early October 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to ensure a fair outcome.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Caprabo Lleida and Obradoiro CAB, scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result of the game as played. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and opinions shift.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Caprabo Lleida versus Obradoiro CAB game in the Spanish Liga ACB. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Caprabo Lleida or Obradoiro CAB would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could also cause volatility. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price.