TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Capitals vs. Bruins
Volume:
$1,598,091
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Washington Capitals vs. Boston Bruins NHL game scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and point spreads (-1.5 for each team). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Capitals win and Bruins win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate under a different framework than Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market—it is logically impossible to resolve. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) use consistent resolution logic based on final NHL.com score including overtime and shootout adjustments. Prioritize Polymarket for trading and settlement verification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If WSH Capitals wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If BOS Bruins wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves to Yes. No resolution path exists for a No outcome.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Capitals' if Capitals win, 'Bruins' if Bruins win. Over/Under markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined goals. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. All markets include consistent edge-case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds 1 goal to winning team's score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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