TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates the margin of victory in a professional soccer game between Cancun FC and Jaiba Brava, scheduled for October 31, 2026. Different outcomes depend on whether Cancun FC or Jaiba Brava wins by specific goal differentials, considering only regulation time and stoppage time.
The market resolves based on whether Cancun FC wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Jaiba Brava wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, during the match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Only goals scored in the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded. If the match is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution for all markets. Kalshi explicitly states no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the spread in the Cancun FC vs Jaiba Brava match. As more traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts to reflect the changing demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by the collective assessment of participants, and the volume traded indicates the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Cancun FC vs Jaiba Brava match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the league organizers, specifically the final point spread achieved in the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. This market’s outcome is determined by the official results of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in recent matches by either Cancun FC or Jaiba Brava would also likely have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create price movements as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s prediction.