TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$249,705,498

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,509,605

579,516

Markets across

14,317

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,116

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

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kalshi
polymarket
Trending
Sports

Canadiens vs. Lightning? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$2,605,226
PredictionHero
MTL Canadiens 100%
kalshi
O/U 4.5 100%
polymarket
Canadiens vs. Lightning 100%
polymarket
Apr 27Apr 27Apr 28Apr 29Apr 30Jun 10020406080100

Closed: Apr 29, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 29 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Lightning win and Canadiens win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's categorical structure is logically sound and standard for sports betting.

Hero Tip:

Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline market until the platform issues a clarification or correction. Polymarket's moneyline and all totals/spread markets across both platforms use consistent, resolvable logic. Prioritize Polymarket for this event group.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Moneyline market uses binary Yes/No resolution but specifies both Lightning win and Canadiens win as Yes outcomes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If TB Lightning wins the Game 5... then the market resolves to Yes. If MTL Canadiens wins the Game 5... then the market resolves to Yes.'

  • Polymarket:

    Moneyline market uses categorical resolution (Canadiens vs Lightning) with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Totals and spread markets use consistent goal-counting methodology. Quote: 'If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to Canadiens. If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to Lightning.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.