TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets related to a single NHL game between the Montreal Canadiens and the Chicago Blackhawks on October 23rd. Markets include a winner-takes-all prediction and over/under goals predictions for various thresholds.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 23 at 8:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 23 at 8:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by actual money being wagered. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market incorporates a broader range of factors as traders react to news and information. The volume of $251,089 traded on this market shows active participation.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors, including variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $220,436—can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and trading interfaces may also contribute to these discrepancies. It’s common to see some price variation, even for the same underlying event, as each platform operates as a distinct market.