TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Canada and Peru will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Canada vs Peru professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. The outcome is determined solely by the number of goals exceeding specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions as traders buy and sell contracts. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and both markets react to it.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly posting bids (what they’re willing to pay) and asks (what they’re willing to sell for) for contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The current price reflects the balance between these buy and sell orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation of the total goals scored in the Canada vs Peru match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Canada vs Peru match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official match data and verified to ensure accuracy, establishing the definitive outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Canada or Peru would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players about their expected approach to the game might shift expectations. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, could also lead to rapid price fluctuations in this market.