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413,109
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Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
This event group concerns which team, Canada or Peru, will score more goals in the second half of a FIFA International Friendly match, or if they will draw. The resolution is based on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified if official data is unavailable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Canada and Peru, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada score more goals than Peru in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Canada and Peru score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Peru" if Peru score more goals than Canada in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Canada and Peru, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada score more goals than Peru in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Canada and Peru score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Peru" if Peru score more goals than Canada in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or specialized knowledge. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event. Comparing these odds can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcomes for this market and reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into prices. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Canada to win the second half? at n/a, while Predict leans toward Peru to win the second half? at 98.