TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Campobasso and Perugia. Bettors can speculate on whether Campobasso, Perugia, or a tied result will occur after the full regulation time of the match. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Campobasso vs Perugia professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: a win for Campobasso, a win for Perugia, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by traditional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and trading activity fluctuates. The current price is determined by the last traded price, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment regarding the Campobasso vs Perugia match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Campobasso vs Perugia match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official result will be used to determine which outcome, if any, satisfies the conditions for payout. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the result is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.