TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:16h:19m
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In the upcoming college football game between Campbell and Elon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Campbell" if Campbell win the game. This market will resolve to "Elon" if Elon win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Campbell and Elon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Campbell" if Campbell win the game. This market will resolve to "Elon" if Elon win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Campbell vs Elon college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing wagers, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who have a direct incentive to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, in particular, reflects the aggregated beliefs of individuals incentivized to predict the debate's result. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's a significant amount of volume traded.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which participant is widely considered to have performed better in the debate, as determined by reputable news sources and public opinion. The final result will be assessed based on objective criteria and widely available information. Traders should monitor news coverage leading up to and following the debate to stay informed about potential resolution triggers for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding the debate format, location, or specific topics could shift expectations. Public statements or interviews from either Campbell or Elon, particularly those outlining their debate strategies, would likely influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in their respective fields—technology for Elon, or political commentary for Campbell—could also cause price movements. Finally, broader media coverage and public sentiment surrounding the debate will play a crucial role in shaping the market’s trajectory.