TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between two tennis players in a specific match, focusing on how many games one player wins more than the other. It allows participants to speculate on the margin of victory, providing a nuanced perspective beyond simply predicting who will win. The outcomes are determined by the actual game scores from the match.
The event evaluates the game differential between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ilia Simakin in their professional tennis match at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, across three distinct spreads: Ilia Simakin -6.5 games, Ilia Simakin -3.5 games, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli -1.5 games. For each market, resolution depends on whether the actual game differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold in favor of the named player. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with resolution within two weeks. In cases of retirement, markets that can be settled based on completed play do so accordingly, while unresolved markets are settled at Fair Market Price, determined solely by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.