TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cambridge and Wycombe, focusing on determining whether Cambridge, Wycombe, or neither team wins after the full regulation time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring a fair resolution if necessary.
The event determines the winner of the Cambridge vs Wycombe professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Cambridge wins the match within regulation time, the 'Cambridge' market resolves to Yes. If Wycombe wins under the same conditions, the 'Wycombe' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets are based exclusively on the result after regulation time and do not consider extra time, penalty shootouts, or any post-regulation events. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Cambridge vs Wycombe match, though each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cambridge vs Wycombe match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date nears.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Cambridge or Wycombe would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift expectations. News regarding weather conditions on the day of the match, or even tactical announcements from the managers, might prompt traders to adjust their positions. Any significant information related to the teams' preparation or potential lineup changes could also move the market.