TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cambridge and Blackpool, focusing on determining whether Cambridge, Blackpool, or neither team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time. The result is based solely on the final score after this period, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts that might occur in a tied game.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cambridge vs Blackpool professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. If Cambridge wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Cambridge' market resolves to Yes. If Blackpool wins under the same conditions, the 'Blackpool' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome after regular time and stoppage, with no regard for extra time or penalty shootout results.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market and sportsbooks diverge in their assessments of the Cambridge vs Blackpool match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cambridge vs Blackpool match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations for the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cambridge vs Blackpool match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. The platform will then determine the winning contract(s) and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to establish the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as can significant shifts in betting patterns observed on Kalshi. These signals will all contribute to price movements as traders adjust their predictions for the Cambridge vs Blackpool match.