TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
California vs UNLV: 2nd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What will be the 2nd quarter spread?

Volume:
$25,130

UNLV wins by over 10.5 points

 - Kalshi

UNLV wins by over 10.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 5:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UNLV wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,265
N/A
N/A
$3,420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UNLV wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,885
N/A
N/A
$3,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UNLV wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,503
N/A
N/A
$2,838
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UNLV wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,606
N/A
N/A
$2,442
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UNLV wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,531
N/A
N/A
$2,195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,349
N/A
N/A
$2,289
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,235
N/A
N/A
$2,235
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,130
N/A
N/A
$1,780
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,147
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$479
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance gap between California and UNLV during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the point difference in that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether either team achieves a specified point differential advantage over the opposing team specifically within the second quarter of play. Multiple markets exist with varying threshold point differences (ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points) for both possible outcomes—UNLV winning by a margin or California winning by a margin. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official final result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game commencement timing.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the California vs UNLV spread tracks the current price of the contract, representing the implied probability of different point spreads in the 2nd quarter. You can view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $23,578. Total volume for this market is $25,130. The dashboard provides a visual representation of where traders believe the spread will land, offering insight into collective predictions for this college football matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the California vs UNLV spread. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome of the 2nd quarter spread.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the California vs UNLV game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side of the spread – California or UNLV – ultimately performed better during the second quarter, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the California or UNLV teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and betting trends also play a role.