TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the match might be. Each threshold represents a different level of offensive performance by both teams combined. The outcome depends solely on the final score of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of California and SMU in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026 exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 34.5 to 76.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of individual threshold selections. The markets are independent speculation instruments not officially connected with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining the difference between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the California versus SMU football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total points value equal to or exceeding the final score will result in a payout, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the prices in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either California or SMU would likely have a significant impact, as it affects the projected scoring potential of each team. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is anticipated, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.