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California vs SMU: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of California vs SMU?

Volume:
$12,255

SMU wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

SMU wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 3:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,552
N/A
N/A
$3,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
$2,371
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,757
N/A
N/A
$1,737
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,705
N/A
N/A
$1,473
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$940
N/A
N/A
$938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$726
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
No
kalshi

California wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets track how decisively either California or SMU wins the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Outcomes depend solely on the point differential achieved in the fourth quarter, ignoring earlier game events or overtime periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the fourth quarter of play (excluding overtime) in the California vs SMU college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result of that game. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the delay. The markets cover a range of winning margins for both teams, from narrow victories exceeding 2.5 points to decisive wins exceeding 10.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in the game's closing moments.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the California vs SMU spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter. You can see the implied probabilities based on trading activity, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $12,255. The total volume traded on this market is $12,255. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and how it’s changing as kickoff approaches. The dashboard also displays the top of book prices, offering a clear view of where traders are currently buying and selling.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the California vs SMU game, and potentially identify opportunities where one offers more favorable odds than the other.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the California vs SMU fourth quarter spread.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the California vs SMU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The final spread will be calculated based on the actual points scored by each team in the fourth quarter, and the market will settle to reflect whether the actual spread was above or below the contract’s specified value.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either California or SMU would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trading activity. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to movements in this market as traders react to new information.