TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the second half of an upcoming college football game, focusing exclusively on performance after halftime. Each outcome represents a specific margin of victory for either team during that period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated game. If SMU achieves a winning margin exceeding the specified threshold in the second half, corresponding SMU markets resolve to Yes; if California does so, its markets resolve to Yes. Markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time. If play does not commence within this window, all markets resolve at fair prices. No markets consider first-half performance or overall game results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the incentive structure for traders. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for understanding where the broader public sentiment lies regarding the California vs SMU game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the second half of the California vs SMU game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It's important to monitor the game's progress and any potential factors that could influence the final result as we approach the resolution date.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the California or SMU teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading volume and prices. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.