TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
California vs. SMU
predict
polymarket

What is the result of California vs SMU?

Volume:
$215,442

Spread -19.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -19.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 67.5

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -23.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 73.5

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 235

Description

This prediction market group centers around the college football game between California and SMU on October 24th. Markets cover the game's outcome, point spreads, over/under totals, team statistics, and various in-game events like touchdowns and field goals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the same core resolution criteria based on official game results, handling ties, postponements, and cancellations identically.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA game results (e.g., NCAA.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner of the game determines the resolution of the 'California vs. SMU' market.
  • Point spreads and over/under markets are resolved based on the final score.
  • All markets include overtime in their resolution.
  • A tie results in a 50-50 split of the market.
  • Postponement extends the market until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation results in a 50-50 split of the market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and officially scored.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, all markets resolve to a 50-50 split.
  • Tie Game: If the game ends in a tie, the 'California vs. SMU' market resolves to a 50-50 split.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 24-48 hours of the official completion of the California vs. SMU game, as reported by the NCAA.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the California-SMU football game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, currently showing a combined volume of $215,442 across all tracked platforms. The dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and see how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available. We track the leading outcomes and associated probabilities, giving users a comprehensive overview of what the crowd believes will happen in this matchup. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional betting odds.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating information not readily reflected in traditional betting lines. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and higher liquidity. This market provides a fascinating comparison point, showing how collective forecasting differs from professional oddsmaking for the California-SMU football game.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket may have different fee structures or liquidity compared to Predict. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors California at 100%, while Predict leans toward California vs. SMU at n/a. These differences highlight how diverse perspectives contribute to the overall forecasting process for the California-SMU football game.