TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether SMU will win its college football game against California. Currently, Kalshi gives SMU a 99.0% probability of winning, while California is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the California vs SMU game, as determined by the official result if the game proceeds as scheduled, or within 48 hours of the original game time, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 23, 2026, as the result of that contest will determine market resolution and the final payout on October 24, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception clashes with expert analysis. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more complete picture of the expected result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the California vs SMU game, as reported by a trusted source for college football scores. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant shifts in team performance would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game location could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in other college football games could affect overall perceptions of team strength and indirectly impact this market. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent than concrete events. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential market fluctuations.