TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the game's progression and scoring events.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the California vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, with three possible outcomes: NC State scores first, California scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe California will score first, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the California vs NC State football game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either California or NC State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could contribute to price movements in this market before Oct 31, 2026.