TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment in a college football game between California and NC State. It assesses whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin during a particular quarter, reflecting strategic performance and scoring dynamics in that timeframe.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the California vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate markets for both teams. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that as game day approaches, the prices on Kalshi converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. However, discrepancies can still arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the second quarter of the California vs NC State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. This means the difference in points between the two teams at the end of the second quarter will dictate the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the official result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the California or NC State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the game’s likely outcome could shift the market. Overall team performance in preceding games and updated statistics will also play a role in shaping the probabilities reflected in the prices.