TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$321,553,888
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,994,878,661
419,895
Markets across
39,929
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between California and NC State. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the early game stages, where momentum can shift rapidly. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during the first 15 minutes of play.
If NC St. wins the 1st quarter of the California vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If California wins the 1st quarter of the California vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the California vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, which may differ from the purely probabilistic assessment seen here. It's common to observe discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is leading after the first quarter of the California vs NC State game. Official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first-quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the California or NC State teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts, particularly those with a strong track record, could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, if they affect the game's style of play, could also be a catalyst. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could drive price movements as traders react to perceived information or momentum.