TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored in the first quarter of a college football game between California and NC State. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored, determining whether the outcome meets or exceeds that benchmark.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of play in the California vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities, though it’s important to remember that neither guarantees accuracy. This market's pricing reflects what traders believe will happen.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the California vs NC State game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the threshold set by the market contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the California or NC State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also impact trading activity. Public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks might also play a role, as traders often react to broader market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or lineup changes could lead to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.