TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether NC State will win its college football game against California. Currently, Kalshi gives NC State a 99.0% probability of winning, while California is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the California vs NC State game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as determined by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if NC State wins the game scheduled for October 30, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if either California or NC State wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the original time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi holds no affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and comparing probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the California vs NC State game, as reported by a trusted source. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key injuries to star players on either the California or NC State teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes, shifts in team performance during the season, or even changes in weather forecasts could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning—such as updated statistics, expert analysis, or public sentiment—could lead to changes in the market prices. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.