TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Miguel Tobon in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Miguel Tobon in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and public perception, while this market allows for the incorporation of more nuanced factors and late-breaking news. If sportsbooks and this market diverge significantly, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess unique insights or are reacting to information faster than sportsbook operators. However, as the event approaches, the odds from both sources tend to converge as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon match. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on their shareholding and the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players’ physical condition or tactical approaches are likely to be closely watched. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or unexpected upsets in related events could also impact the market. Monitoring news sources and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.