TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Matias Soto in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Matias Soto. This market will resolve to 'Matias Soto' if Matias Soto advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Matias Soto in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Matias Soto. This market will resolve to 'Matias Soto' if Matias Soto advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where they disagree with professional oddsmakers regarding the Aboian vs Soto match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in market opinion regarding the Aboian vs Soto match. The market’s depth and volume contribute to price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aboian vs Soto match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event’s conclusion will be validated and reflected in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Valerio Aboian or Matias Soto could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can also play a role. Major upsets in related sporting events or broader trends within the sport could also impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities associated with the Aboian vs Soto match. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.