TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Rodriguez Taverna and Gonzalo Bueno in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Rodriguez Taverna' if Santiago Rodriguez Taverna advances against Gonzalo Bueno. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Santiago Rodriguez Taverna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Santiago Rodriguez Taverna and Gonzalo Bueno in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santiago Rodriguez Taverna' if Santiago Rodriguez Taverna advances against Gonzalo Bueno. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Santiago Rodriguez Taverna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Santiago Rodriguez vs Bueno match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santiago Rodriguez vs Bueno match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive trading activity and alter the market price. Public perception and any late-breaking information related to the Santiago Rodriguez vs Bueno match will likely be key catalysts.