TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Ficovich and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Ficovich' if Juan Pablo Ficovich advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Pablo Ficovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Ficovich and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Ficovich' if Juan Pablo Ficovich advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Pablo Ficovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences, particularly when public perception deviates from sportsbook assessments. If a significant amount of money flows into one outcome on Polymarket, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are miscalibrated, or that they have information not yet reflected in those odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ficovich vs Alves match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player might also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.