TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Juan Bautista Torres in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Juan Bautista Torres. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Juan Bautista Torres in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Juan Bautista Torres. This market will resolve to 'Juan Bautista Torres' if Juan Bautista Torres advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like player form, potential upsets, or even external influences. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering different value depending on your assessment of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the La Serna vs Torres match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the La Serna vs Torres match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Juan Manuel La Serna or Juan Bautista Torres would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance, tactical adjustments announced by their teams, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements or public statements from key figures involved in the event could also shift market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations.