TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Nicolas Villalon Valdes in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Nicolas Villalon Valdes. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Villalon Valdes' if Nicolas Villalon Valdes advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Nicolas Villalon Valdes in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Nicolas Villalon Valdes. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Villalon Valdes' if Nicolas Villalon Valdes advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all traders involved, providing a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cali: Frazier Rengifo vs Nicolas Villalon Valdes match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could trigger significant price movements. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or reports suggesting a shift in public sentiment, could also lead to increased trading volume and altered probabilities. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might influence traders’ perceptions and affect the pricing of this market.