TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Valerio Aboian in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Valerio Aboian in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities may arise for arbitrage. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment regarding the Alves vs Aboian match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alves vs Aboian match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader tennis news, could move the market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.