TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Sebastian Gomez in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Sebastian Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Juan Sebastian Gomez' if Juan Sebastian Gomez advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Sebastian Gomez in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Juan Sebastian Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Juan Sebastian Gomez' if Juan Sebastian Gomez advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event draws nearer. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions about where to place your predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Cali tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cali tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Sebastian Gomez, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. It's important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential shifts in the predicted outcome of the Cali tennis match.