TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market’s odds evolve continuously as new information and opinions are factored in by participants, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new information regarding the Mena vs Aboian match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cali: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian match, as reported by a recognized authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated performance statistics for Facundo Mena or Valerio Aboian could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders’ beliefs, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market up until Oct 26, 2026.