TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Polymarket towards what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies between prediction market prices and traditional sportsbook offerings, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, its share price will increase while the first outcome's price declines. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dedura-Palomero vs Alves match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either Dedura-Palomero or Alves might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ form or strategic approaches could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to new information and refine their predictions.