TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Franco Ribero in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Franco Ribero. This market will resolve to 'Franco Ribero' if Franco Ribero advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Franco Ribero in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Franco Ribero. This market will resolve to 'Franco Ribero' if Franco Ribero advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction market prices sometimes offering more favorable odds, particularly when there's strong disagreement with the broader public opinion. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as different groups of bettors weigh the available data. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Zarate vs Ribero fight. The current price of shares is determined by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zarate vs Ribero fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner of the bout. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or decision by judges, will be used to determine the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in public perception, influenced by expert analysis or media coverage, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could introduce uncertainty and affect trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ previous performances or changes in their coaching staff could influence traders’ assessments of their chances of winning the Zarate vs Ribero fight.