TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Matteo Covato in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Matteo Covato. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Matteo Covato in the Cali, Colombia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Matteo Covato. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Covato' if Matteo Covato advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information is considered. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cali: Alex Hernandez vs Matteo Covato fight, as determined by the relevant sporting authorities. The market will reflect which fighter won the match, or if the fight ended in a draw. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available and verifiable information to determine the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ health, training progress, or potential injuries could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s conditions, such as a venue change or rule adjustments, could also impact trading. Additionally, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or expert analysis, could drive changes in the market's assessment of each fighter's chances of winning. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.