TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:03 AM EST
Kalshi
The Calgary vs Vancouver NHL game on Oct 3 will feature several markets tracking the total goals scored. Thresholds range from over 1.5 goals to over 9.5 goals. The result hinges on whether the combined score surpasses each respective threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the NHL game between Calgary and Vancouver scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Goals from regulation and overtime count normally, while a shootout awards one goal to the winning team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start, markets stay open and resolve with the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, making it a valuable indicator of potential game outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Calgary vs Vancouver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports data providers. The total goals scored, including any goals scored during overtime, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Calgary or Vancouver teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments might cause traders to reassess the probabilities. Even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to fluctuations in this market.