TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Calgary and Vancouver, scheduled for October 3, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in the match. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the outcome still counts; however, if it is canceled or does not start within that window, the market adjusts to a fair value instead of settling on a win for either side.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Calgary and Vancouver scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Vancouver wins, the Vancouver market resolves to Yes; if Calgary wins, the Calgary market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the team's performance in the game.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective insight of participants. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Calgary vs Vancouver match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume of $571,620 indicates the level of interest and participation in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Calgary vs Vancouver match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders will then receive or pay out funds based on their positions in this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, may also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly impact this market.