TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The Calgary vs Seattle NHL game on Oct 4 features both teams aiming for victory, with scoring evaluated across various total goal thresholds. Goals scored during regulation and overtime are counted as usual, and a shootout adds a single goal to the winner. The match must start within 48 hours of its scheduled time to maintain market validity; otherwise, markets resolve fairly if cancelled.
Several markets assess if the total goals scored by Calgary and Seattle exceed thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 9.5. A market resolves to Yes when the combined goals reach or exceed its threshold. Goals from regulation and overtime count normally, with a shootout contributing one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the scheduled start, markets stay open and resolve based on the official result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to a fair resolution for all markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, like team statistics and player injuries. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, differences can emerge based on information available to traders and how they interpret it, potentially leading to discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, constantly updating the market price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the game's potential goal total.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Calgary vs Seattle game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total goals outcome, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Calgary vs Seattle goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups could shift expectations and lead to price adjustments in this market as traders react to the new information.