TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The Calgary vs Seattle NHL game on Oct 4 will determine if either team secures a convincing win. Seattle must win by more than specified goal margins, and Calgary has its own margin requirements. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours, markets stay active; cancellations lead to fair resolutions for all markets.
Four markets evaluate whether Seattle or Calgary wins by margins exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If Seattle wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Calgary wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Calgary wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and it's common to see discrepancies as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Calgary vs Seattle spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the collective expectations of participants, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Calgary vs Seattle game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract price, and proportionally less if it differs. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the Calgary vs Seattle spread between now and Oct 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also lead to price movements. Major betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can also create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess the evolving probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.