TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Calgary and Edmonton. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the losing team, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The resolution depends entirely on the official game result and its timing relative to the original schedule.
All markets resolve based on the official result of the Calgary vs Edmonton NHL game scheduled for October 28, 2026, subject to specific timing conditions. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The primary outcomes depend on the winning team’s goal differential: Edmonton winning by more than 2.5 goals, Edmonton winning by more than 1.5 goals, Calgary winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Calgary winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each primary condition explicitly defines when its respective market resolves to 'Yes', with the secondary rules ensuring consistent handling of scheduling disruptions.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what's captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook's line is inaccurate, you’ll likely see divergence in the prices. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – the final point spread between Calgary and Edmonton – and often move in similar directions as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets as a leading indicator of public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Calgary vs Edmonton spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread between Calgary and Edmonton will be determined by the official result of the game. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations after the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence the Calgary vs Edmonton spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader trends in the league, could impact trader behavior. Unexpected weather conditions on game day may also influence the perceived advantage of either team, leading to adjustments in this market.