TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Calgary and Colorado, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specified number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the match.
The markets resolve based on whether Calgary or Colorado wins the NHL game scheduled for October 31, 2026, by a specified goal margin. If Colorado wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, the relevant market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Calgary wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. For all markets, if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds, such as those seen in this market, tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like public betting bias or promotional offers, while this market is driven purely by individuals' beliefs about the likely outcome. However, initial sportsbook lines often serve as a baseline for comparison, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views risk losing money. The current price indicates the collective assessment of the Calgary vs Colorado spread by all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Calgary vs Colorado game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will determine which contracts settle at 100.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Calgary or Colorado teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant public betting patterns could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team covering the spread, leading to adjustments in the price of contracts within this market.