TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential outcomes of an NHL hockey game between Calgary and Anaheim based on the margin of victory. It focuses on how many goals each team might win by, reflecting the competitive balance and performance expectations for the match.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Calgary or Anaheim wins the game scheduled for October 13, 2026. Specifically, separate markets cover wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for each team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of scheduling changes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, which can introduce bias. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge for informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Calgary vs Anaheim spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people believe Calgary will cover the spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current price represents the probability of a particular spread outcome as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Calgary vs Anaheim game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports league, and will determine whether the spread closed above or below the final contract price on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on their contract’s value at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Calgary or Anaheim teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. As the game approaches, any late-breaking information will be quickly reflected in the price on Kalshi, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.