TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This group covers the outcome of a Serie C soccer match between Calcio Desenzano and AS Giana Erminio on October 25, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, settled based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Calcio Desenzano and AS Giana Erminio.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Desenzano vs Giana Erminio professional Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after normal time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, setting odds based on implied probabilities and a margin for themselves. Prediction markets, however, rely on the collective intelligence of participants who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, particularly when a significant amount of information is available. Therefore, this market may offer a different perspective than traditional betting options.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in trading volume – currently $7,989 in the last 24 hours – can also create discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders with varying risk appetites and information sets. These factors contribute to independent price formation, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event, the Calcio Desenzano vs. AS Giana Erminio match.