TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams compete in a match scheduled for October 31, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in this contest. The game's result will determine the resolution of the market based on the winning team.
The market resolves to Yes if either Cal Poly or Montana St. wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are often considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Examining both sets of odds provides a broader understanding of the potential results for the Cal Poly vs Montana State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a responsive indicator of expectations surrounding the Cal Poly vs Montana State game. Volume and order flow directly influence these prices.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Cal Poly vs Montana State game, as officially reported by a trusted source. The platform will verify the results and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can also influence prices. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how the market for the Cal Poly vs Montana State game evolves in the days leading up to the event.