TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Arizona Wildcats
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Cal Poly Mustangs vs Arizona Wildcats?

Total volume:
$1,624
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$402
33%
Open interest:
$1,624
0%

Arizona

 - Kalshi

Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:04h:17m

Arizona wins

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 150% 3 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
$1,223
3d 4h 17m
Active
kalshi

Cal Poly

3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$401
3d 4h 17m
Active
polymarket

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Arizona Wildcats

15%
Yes 29¢No 99¢
28¢
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 17m
Active
predict

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Arizona Wildcats

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 17m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 28¢Max: 28¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This group resolves to which college basketball team wins the game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets specify a no-result condition if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a defined deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket and Predict require specifying the winning team.Hero tip: Be cautious about Kalshi's market, as it's structured differently. A win by either team will resolve it to 'Yes', while Polymarket and Predict require specifying *which* team wins. Consider the implied probabilities and potential for misinterpretation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team: 'Cal Poly Mustangs' or 'Arizona Wildcats'. "If the Cal Poly Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "Cal Poly Mustangs". If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats".
  • Predict: Resolves to the winning team: 'Cal Poly Mustangs' or 'Arizona Wildcats'. "If the Cal Poly Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "Cal Poly Mustangs". If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Arizona wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cal Poly wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CBB game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Cal Poly vs Arizona men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Arizona wins, the Arizona market resolves to Yes, and the Cal Poly market resolves to No. Conversely, if Cal Poly wins, the Cal Poly market resolves to Yes, and the Arizona market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming CBB game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,624, with $1,624 traded in the last 24 hours. Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Arizona Wildcats is currently favored across these platforms, reflecting the combined probabilities from each venue. This allows for a comprehensive view of predictions, aggregating insights from different forecasting communities. The dashboard provides a single point to monitor the evolving probabilities for this event, offering a broader perspective than looking at individual markets in isolation.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of participants, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, prediction markets directly reflect it, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks haven’t yet corrected.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market creation differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly and effectively information is incorporated into the odds. These differences contribute to a nuanced view of the expected outcome, even when considering the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final outcome and how it will be applied to this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cal Poly or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or start time, could also shift the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.