TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:04h:17m
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This group resolves to which college basketball team wins the game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets specify a no-result condition if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a defined deadline.
In the upcoming CBB game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Cal Poly vs Arizona men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Arizona wins, the Arizona market resolves to Yes, and the Cal Poly market resolves to No. Conversely, if Cal Poly wins, the Cal Poly market resolves to Yes, and the Arizona market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBB game between Cal Poly Mustangs and Arizona Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of participants, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, prediction markets directly reflect it, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks haven’t yet corrected.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market creation differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly and effectively information is incorporated into the odds. These differences contribute to a nuanced view of the expected outcome, even when considering the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cal Poly vs. Arizona game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final outcome and how it will be applied to this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cal Poly or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or start time, could also shift the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.