TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cajamarca and Melgar in Peru's Liga 1 league. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the teams finish level after this period, the match is considered a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Cajamarca vs Melgar Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective 'Cajamarca', 'Melgar', or 'Tie' market depending on whether Cajamarca wins, Melgar wins, or the teams draw within regulation time. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets resolve at a fair price according to platform rules. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can sometimes distort the true implied probability. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. While sportsbooks might heavily favor one team based on public perception, the prediction market can reveal hidden information or differing opinions, potentially offering a contrasting viewpoint on the Cajamarca vs Melgar match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cajamarca vs Melgar match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this official result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on team performance in other recent matches, or even public statements from coaches or players, could impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to volatility in this market for the Cajamarca vs Melgar match.